Trade Tatler Newsletter

News from the FMCG retail industry – delivered fresh every week

THIS ISSUE: 5 February 2026

Shoprite trading update | 100 days of Dis-Chem’s Better Rewards

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Another week, another Trade Tatler, where we bring you our usual weekly snapshot of what’s what in the world of FMCG. This week, we kick off with a trading update from Shoprite, and surprise, surprise, it’s a goody. Then, we take a look at the first 100 days of Dis-Chem’s revamped rewards programme, which, so far, is hitting the sweet spot for the business and its shoppers. SPAR is back in court with one of its biggest retailers, while in the Manufacturers section, we see how unbundled Rainbow is doing alongside its ex-parent company, RCL FOODS. Enjoy the read.

THIS ISSUE: 5 February 2026

Shoprite trading update | 100 days of Dis-Chem’s Better Rewards

Share

Another week, another Trade Tatler, where we bring you our usual weekly snapshot of what’s what in the world of FMCG. This week, we kick off with a trading update from Shoprite, and surprise, surprise, it’s a goody. Then, we take a look at the first 100 days of Dis-Chem’s revamped rewards programme, which, so far, is hitting the sweet spot for the business and its shoppers. SPAR is back in court with one of its biggest retailers, while in the Manufacturers section, we see how unbundled Rainbow is doing alongside its ex-parent company, RCL FOODS. Enjoy the read.

THIS ISSUE: 5 February 2026

Share

Shoprite trading update | 100 days of Dis-Chem’s Better Rewards

Another week, another Trade Tatler, where we bring you our usual weekly snapshot of what’s what in the world of FMCG. This week, we kick off with a trading update from Shoprite, and surprise, surprise, it’s a goody. Then, we take a look at the first 100 days of Dis-Chem’s revamped rewards programme, which, so far, is hitting the sweet spot for the business and its shoppers. SPAR is back in court with one of its biggest retailers, while in the Manufacturers section, we see how unbundled Rainbow is doing alongside its ex-parent company, RCL FOODS. Enjoy the read.

+7.2%

growth in Shoprite Group turnover for 6 months to end Dec

+0.7%

shelf-price inflation applied in Shoprite Group’s SA supers

R350m

savings returned to Dis-Chem reward members

$1tn

market cap reached by Walmart

±R16

current rand to US dollar exchange rate

YOUR NUMBERS THIS WEEK

RETAILERS AND WHOLESALERS

Shoprite

Margin of success

Shoprite released a voluntary trading update for the six months to 28 December early this week. Let’s dive straight into the nitty-gritty: 

    • Group turnover up +7.2% to R137bn. Put another way, the Group made R752m in sales every day over the six months
    • The core business, i.e. Supermarkets RSA, saw turnover grow +7.1%, and now contributes 84.3% to Group sales
    • Internal selling price inflation (i.e. the increase in prices on the shelf) for Supermarkets RSA was kept almost flat at an average of +0.7%. When compared to StatsSA’s official food inflation number of +4.7%, this is rather commendable. In fact, Shoprite Group prices declined into deflation over Nov and Dec due to aggressive promotional activity
    • Like-for-like sales (i.e. excluding new and closed stores during the period) grew just +1.9%, which tells us that the overall Group revenue growth of +7.2% (see above) was thanks to sales from new stores rather than higher prices. In a world where many retailers are seeing volume declines, that is a massive win
    • Shoprite and Usave operated with internal selling price deflation of -0.1% and -0.7% respectively, and still managed to achieve sales growth of +5.1% for the period. Checkers and Checkers Hyper were up +8.9%, and Sixty60 grew sales +34.6%
    • Adjacent businesses, i.e. Petshop Science, Uniq Clothing, Checkers Outdoor and Little Me, positively shot the lights out at +71.2% sales growth, thanks to stores opening hand over fist: Petshop Science +45 stores; Checkers Outdoor +5 stores; Uniq +5 stores. Little Me closed two stores, though, which mirrors the challenges Dis-Chem is seeing in its Baby City stores. Perhaps busy mommas and poppas just don’t have the time to visit a specialist store and would rather grab their formula and nappies online or in supermarket aisles
Source: Tatler Reporter 04/02/26

Ti Perspective: The official interim numbers will be released in early March, so we have to wait for those before singing Shoprite’s praises. What is clear, though, is that by aggressively sacrificing margin, Shoprite is capturing market share and ‘buying’ customer loyalty in a strained consumer climate.

Dis-Chem

When better is best

What does it look like when a retailer changes its business model from the traditional buying and selling of products to one where shoppers, manufacturers and financial service providers are connected in a multi-sided marketplace? Just ask Dis-Chem, whose Better Rewards platform has already saved its shoppers R350m in its first 100 days. Now, R350m is the total amount Dis-Chem shoppers saved across an entire year under the old rewards system, and if the momentum continues, it anticipates that Better Rewards could return over R1.5bn to shoppers in its first year, should its popularity and uptake continue to grow, of course. “These savings matter because they determine whether someone collects their medication, receives timely care or postpones treatment. These are daily decisions for millions of South Africans,” says Dis-Chem CEO Rui Morais, highlighting the core principle behind Better Rewards of making healthcare more affordable and sustainable by bringing together multiple pathways to value. Through Better Rewards, discounts ‘stack’ based on shoppers’ level of engagement with Dis-Chem’s various services: savings start at a flat 10% across more than 170 trusted brands for all Better Rewards members. If they add the ‘Pharmacy Boost’, i.e. by filling prescriptions or purchasing OTC products at the dispensary, they get an extra 5%. If members are Capitec cardholders, they can unlock another 5% on certain brands, and customers of Dis-Chem’s insurance products receive even further discounts, potentially unlocking up to 100% in discounts, depending on the cover chosen and the shopper’s health rating.

Source: Tatler Reporter 04/02/26

Ti Perspective: Platforms such as the Better Rewards ecosystem are so much harder to compete with. If Dis-Chem’s competitor lowers the price of toothpaste, Dis-Chem doesn’t have to match it – it can simply say, “Stick with us and your life insurance premium will be covered by the savings you make in the front shop aisles.” Genius really.

Retailers In Brief

Stamping its authority

We may have the finest, most intuitive and intelligent tech at our very fingertips, and yet there is a quiet, stubborn pull toward what is tangible. Like diary planners that we scratch our pencils across, or a hardcopy novel with the fading scent of crisp paper. Another example is Shoprite’s Savings Stamps, into which customers are still pouring more than R120m each month and which have seen growth of 20% over the last year. What’s the appeal? It’s a trusted tool, low risk (unless you lose your stamps booklet), and users can see, touch and control it with no charges, hidden or otherwise. In-house data shows that while some customers redeem stamps regularly, most save steadily throughout the year, with redemption peaking during key shopping periods such as Black Friday, Easter, the festive season, and January’s back-to-school period. It’s a tool just waiting for manufacturers and service providers to partner with.

 

Next, SPAR is being taken to court  – again – by franchises owned by the Giannacopoulos Group, which is suing for damages related to the “botched implementation” of the SAP enterprise resources planning software at the KZN DC back in 2023. The claim is for at least R170m in damages due to delays that led to stock delivery interruptions and lost sales. In FY2023, the SAP disaster caused SPAR to lose R1.6bn in turnover. SPAR’s legal team is currently reviewing the papers of this latest case. But, there is no love lost between SPAR and the Giannacopoulos family, with the two parties having faced each other in 14 court cases since 2019, all of which were won by the family. The disputes centred on SPAR’s attempts to seize control of Giannacopoulos-operated SPAR outlets, credit-term alterations, allegations of misconduct, and a big damages claim related to a guild membership dispute.

Source: Tatler Reporter 04/02/26, Supermarket.co.za 29/01/26

International News

Capital idea!

In news from abroad, Albertsons has announced that it will be clamping tracking devices to its trolleys and baskets to follow the path shoppers take through its stores. The main purpose, says Albertsons, is for media and measurement, helping the company determine if shoppers who see in-store ads later purchase the advertised product. Sounds a little Big-Brotherish? You wouldn’t be alone in thinking so. But Albertsons has been quick to clarify that although connecting the trackers to loyalty data is possible, “access is not enabled” and only the shopping trolley or basket and its movement will be tracked, not the shopper. Hmmm… Meta also told us that our messages were ‘private’. We never fell for that one, TBH. But if they really want to analyse the chaotic data of our daily lift-club logistics, they’re welcome to it. We can’t make head or tail of it anyway.

 

Next, just 48 hours after taking over as Walmart’s new CEO,  John Furner saw his ship reach $1tn market capitalisation on Tuesday, the first brick-and-mortar retailer to do so. In reaching this heady threshold, Walmart joins an elite club that is dominated by tech and AI infrastructure giants like Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet (Google’s parent company)… and that’s just the As. And while new CEOs often join companies to turn them around, this time, Furner has the daunting task of keeping the company on top. At 51 years of age, Furner has been at Walmart for 30 years where he started as an hourly associate in the garden centre before eventually leading Sam’s Club and Walmart U.S. He plans to spend his first few weeks as CEO visiting stores and engaging directly with employees, where he will ask them a simple question: “Tell me one thing that slows you down or makes it harder to do your job.” As things currently stand, Furner is viewed very favourably by investors, industry analysts and within the company, with analysts describing him as “tech-savvy” and a “detail-oriented” operator. All the right creds then, to take the retail behemoth forward.

Source: boisedev.com 02/02/26, Business Report 04/02/26, CNBC 03/02/26
Baby Retail

MANUFACTURERS AND SERVICE PROVIDERS

Trading Updates

Flying the coop

Trading updates in our manufacturers section too, from the unbundled brothers, Rainbow and RCL FOODS. We’ll kick off with the latter, which is experiencing significant financial and operational strain due to challenges in both its sugar and pet food divisions. In fact, RCL Foods has told its shareholders to expect a sharp fall in earnings, with HEPS expected to be at least 25% down for the six months ended Dec 2025. The decline has been mainly attributed to the sugar business landscape, where a surge of low-priced sugar imports has flooded the local market. This has pushed more of RCL’s product into exports, where prices were far weaker, negatively affecting the unit’s performance. With regard to the pet business, while not specifically mentioned in the update, the product recall in late 2025 halted 60% of production for major brands like Bobtail and Canine Cuisine. RCL has reportedly cancelled promotions through to June 2026 as it struggles to restore stock levels. This has opened a gap in the market for RCL’s competitors, like Monic (the holding company of Montego) and Marltons, which just two weeks ago were given the green light by the Competition Commission for the former to acquire the latter. The transaction won’t have had an effect on RCL’s official HY results (due for release in March), but the change in the pet food landscape is potentially profound.

 

Better news from Rainbow, which is forecasting that its interim profit for the six months ended Dec will more than double. The anticipated growth is attributed to the continuation of the company’s turnaround and its “relentless focus” on core operational fundamentals, such as improvements in bird health and farming productivity, improved operational efficiencies and streamlined processes in its plants and the supply chain, good consumer demand for Rainbow’s products, and a nice little boost from lower feed costs thanks to the downward trend in grain and commodity prices at the moment.

Source: Daily Maverick 03/02/26, Business Day 04/02/26

Ti Perspective: Rainbow’s performance just shows what focus can do for a business when its corporate overhead is not working for it. By unbundling, it has managed to capture the upside of the agricultural cycle with agility.

Market Research

TRADE ENVIRONMENT

Economic Indicators

With interest
By Ti Retail Economist, Carey Leighton

The SA Reserve Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee met last week and, after a 2:4 vote, left the repo rate unchanged.

    • Two members voted for a cut of 25 basis points, while four preferred a hold, considering the “volatile global backdrop
    • This left the repo rate at 6.75% and prime (3.5% higher) at 10.25%. The spread has been +3.5% since 2001, something that is now under review, but could take some time and might not change
    • In terms of the inflation outlook, it is expected to remain contained for 2026, supported by a stronger rand, lower expected oil price and an economic growth outlook that was described as “steadier”
    • We have talked about the new inflation target of +3%, and while inflation of goods is at +3%, service inflation is still over +4%. As the SARB governor explained, “lower expectations will be important for getting inflation to settle at 3%

In more news, the rand is still around R16 against the US dollar – at mid-2022 levels – due to the weaker US dollar and supported by commodity prices. Gold has had a volatile week, since my “notable news” in last week’s Tatler, when gold peaked at $5,500, then came down to around $4,800 an ounce, as markets adjust to news of Trump’s nominee to take over the Fed (their version of the SARB). Trump has picked Kevin Warsh, and while historically he is known for favouring higher rates to curb inflation, he has recently voiced alignment with Trump’s preference for lower interest rates, leaving markets unsure of what to expect.

Source: SA Reserve Bank (SARB)

Ti Perspective: The SARB needs stakeholders to hear “+3%” and set its price-increase expectations accordingly. However, there are obstacles – for example, electricity inflation is forecasted at +8.8% for 2026, so it’s not going to be easy. But then, how could we expect otherwise? 

For more info on the SA Economic indicators, check out this snapshot here, part of the Trade Intelligence Monthly SA Economic Report set.

retail outlook 2026

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